W4
WD 40 CO (WDFC)·Q4 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2025 delivered a solid finish: revenue $163.5M (+5% YoY), gross margin 54.7% (+60 bps YoY), operating income $28.0M (+17% YoY), and diluted EPS $1.56 (+27% YoY) .
- Clear beats vs S&P Global consensus: revenue $163.5M vs $153.9M (+6.2%), EPS $1.56 vs $0.82 (+90%), EBITDA $30.1M vs $26.4M (+14%) — reflecting stronger maintenance products and margin recovery; estimates from S&P Global*.
- FY26 pro forma guidance introduced: net sales $630–$655M (+5–9%), gross margin 55.5–56.5%, operating income $103–$110M (+5–12%), EPS $5.75–$6.15; management plans to fully utilize its remaining buyback authorization in FY26 .
- Strategic narrative: premiumization, supply-chain cost reductions, and geographic expansion underpin sustained >55% gross margin; Americas softness offset by strength in EIMEA and Asia distributors .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Maintenance products up 6% YoY in Q4; WD‑40 Specialist up 11% YoY, with EIMEA direct markets driving strength (DACH, France) .
- Gross margin recovery ahead of plan: FY25 55.1% (55.6% excluding assets held for sale); Q4 54.7%, supported by lower specialty chemical costs and higher ASPs/premiumization .
- Strategic clarity and capital returns: FY26 guidance targets sustained >55% GM; management to accelerate buybacks and fully utilize remaining authorization, signaling confidence .
- “Looking ahead, we plan to accelerate our share repurchase activity and fully utilize our remaining authorization—reflecting our strong conviction in the long-term fundamentals of the business…” .
What Went Wrong
- Americas segment down 2% YoY in Q4, with WD‑40 Multi-Use declines in Latin America and U.S.; higher warehousing/distribution/freight costs pressured margin mix .
- Sales mix headwinds: 140 bps gross margin impact from unfavorable mix (market and product mix, including bulk vs premiumized formats) .
- Ongoing transition in homecare and cleaning (HCCP): Q4 HCCP down 9% YoY; portfolio divestitures continue (UK sale completed; Americas HCCP still for sale) .
Financial Results
Segment breakdown (Net Sales):
Product group breakdown (Net Sales):
Consensus vs Actual (S&P Global):
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Guidance Changes
Note: FY26 guidance excludes the financial impact of assets expected to be divested; if Americas HCCP divestiture does not occur, FY26 guidance would be positively impacted by ~$12.5M revenue, ~$3.6M operating income, ~$0.20 EPS .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Gross margin continues to strengthen and has now exceeded our target of 55 percent… Q4 gross margin reached 54.7%—a 730-basis-point improvement compared to Q4 FY2021” .
- “We plan to accelerate our share repurchase activity and fully utilize our remaining authorization—reflecting our strong conviction in the long-term fundamentals of the business” .
- “Global attainable market for WD‑40 Multi‑Use Product ≈ $1.9B; we’ve achieved only 25%—leaving ≈ $1.4B growth opportunity” .
- “Q4 gross margin favorable drivers: lower specialty chemical costs (+110 bps), higher ASPs including premiumization (+110 bps); headwinds: sales mix (−140 bps), higher warehousing/distribution/freight (−60 bps)” .
Q&A Highlights
- Clarified pro forma vs GAAP reporting and FY25 EPS pro forma of $5.50 used for guidance comparisons .
- Mix headwinds detail: sales mix across direct vs distributor and product mix (premium formats, bulk, Specialist vs Multi‑Use) explained; premiumization remains a tailwind .
- FY26 gross margin influences: oil costs could be small tailwind if stable; pipeline cost savings and sourcing wins carry forward .
- Asia-Pacific runway: “very long runway” in distributor markets; expect Q1 inventory normalization then rebound later in FY26 .
- Specialist premiumization: Smart Straw/Easy Reach applied to Specialist SKUs; Specialist generally margin accretive .
Estimates Context
- Q4 2025 beats: revenue $163.5M vs $153.9M consensus; EPS $1.56 vs $0.82; EBITDA $30.1M vs $26.4M, reflecting stronger EIMEA/APAC and margin execution; estimates from S&P Global*.
- Q1 2026 consensus: revenue ~$155.1M*, EPS ~$1.445* — setup implies normalizing seasonality with focus on sustaining >55% GM.
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Strong execution beat: broad-based revenue/EPS/EBITDA beats vs consensus, supported by margin recovery and APAC/EIMEA strength; Americas softness bears watching ; estimates from S&P Global*.
- Margin durability: actions in sourcing, pricing/premiumization, and logistics support sustained >55% GM in FY26; monitor mix and freight cost headwinds .
- Capital returns catalyst: accelerated buybacks in FY26 and consistent dividend policy (>50% of earnings) provide support to the stock .
- Strategic focus: maintenance products (95% of net sales) remain the growth engine; Specialist and premium formats deepen margin and category leadership .
- Portfolio simplification: UK HCCP sale complete; Americas HCCP divestiture progress is a watch item with potential positive impact if retained per guidance sensitivity .
- Near-term trading: expect attention on sequential margin trajectory (Q3 56.2% → Q4 54.7%) and Americas demand trends; consensus revisions likely upward after beats*.
- Medium-term thesis: geographic expansion, premiumization, digital enablement, and cost discipline underpin multi-year growth with disciplined capital allocation .
Footnotes:
*Values retrieved from S&P Global.